The European Commission proposed a European climate resilience law on 27 October 2026 that would give Member States a common warming baseline for assessing future climate risks. The law is intended to equip public authorities, businesses and communities.

The proposed reference pathway reflects the Commission’s assessment that global warming is on course to reach 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030, 2°C by 2050 and 3°C by 2100. The proposed pathway would give Member States a common baseline for assessing future climate risks in decisions, including those concerning infrastructure. The proposed law is intended to equip public authorities, businesses and communities.

The proposal would simplify national planning obligations and instruments through a single strategic plan for each country. It also calls for more regular climate risk assessments to make EU and national assessments more consistent and comparable.

The Commission estimates that climate damage caused around €200 billion in economic losses from 2022 to 2025, or €50 billion a year. The wider framework also supports local and regional adaptation through pilot projects and advisory services.